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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Colonial Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Grand Junction

Tract 08077001002 · Mesa County, CO · pop 7,294 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 08077001002 covers part of the Colonial Heights area of Grand Junction, CO, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 20% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units3,517
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$89,024

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Colonial Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 19 tracts In Grand Junction
Very Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#23 of 33 tracts In Mesa County
Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#1,087 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Junction and the region

Centroid at 39.1015, -108.5683 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colonial Heights scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grand Junction
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,344 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Junction
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.2

How Colonial Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Colonial Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0010024.6Grand Junctionparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 50Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 2.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak (2006)
  • 22Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colonial Heights

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Mesa County average of 43.0%.

At $1,344 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Grand Junction commands. The filing record is not thin: 50 evictions over 2 years of observation. Against the Mesa County average of 4.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 3.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $89,024.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 08077001002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08077001002?

Census tract 08077001002 in the Colonial Heights neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08077001002?

Median gross rent is $1,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08077001002?

6.3% of residents in tract 08077001002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,294.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08077001002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 35th, minority 27th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 08077001002 considered part of Colonial Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08077001002 fall within Colonial Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08077001002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 50 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08077001002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.97% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08077001002 compare to Grand Junction overall?

Tract 08077001002 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Grand Junction at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Junction

Top eight tracts in Grand Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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