Grand Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Mesa County average of 4.5.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,261, 10% above the Grand Junction average. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $70,880.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.