Skip to content
Grand Junction, Colorado eviction risk overview
Ranked #819 of 1,865 nationally

Grand Junction, CO Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Mesa County · Population 68,142

In 2026
Risk score
4.3
MODERATE

54th percentile, Colorado.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing steadily

Min1.6 Average2.4 Now4.3
10 5 1976 · score 1.8 1977 · score 1.9 1978 · score 1.8 1979 · score 1.8 1980 · score 1.9 1981 · score 1.6 1982 · score 1.7 1983 · score 1.6 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.6 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.7 1988 · score 1.7 1989 · score 1.6 1990 · score 1.6 1991 · score 1.6 1992 · score 1.9 1993 · score 1.9 1994 · score 1.8 1995 · score 1.9 1996 · score 1.8 1997 · score 1.8 1998 · score 1.7 1999 · score 1.7 2000 · score 1.7 2001 · score 1.8 2002 · score 2.0 2003 · score 2.0 2004 · score 2.1 2005 · score 2.1 2006 · score 2.1 2007 · score 2.1 2008 · score 2.5 2009 · score 2.8 2010 · score 2.9 2011 · score 2.9 2012 · score 2.8 2013 · score 2.7 2014 · score 2.7 2015 · score 2.6 2016 · score 2.6 2017 · score 2.6 2018 · score 2.7 2019 · score 2.8 2020 · score 4.8 2021 · score 5.0 2022 · score 4.1 2023 · score 3.8 2024 · score 4.3 2025 · score 4.3 2026 · score 4.3

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.2 Regional 4.2 State 4.7 Economic 6.2 Supply 7.2 Rent Control 6.1 Eviction 4.5 Tenant 7.7 Housing 6.2 4.3 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +24.3% (2024)
    4.2
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.2
  3. State political climate
    Colorado legislature & governorship
    4.7
  4. Economic stress
    13.0% poverty · 4.5% unemp.
    6.2
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,142 average · 36.5% renters
    7.2
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.1% of income on rent
    6.1
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    96 days filing → judgment
    4.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    36.5% renters
    7.7
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.2
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Junction and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Grand Junction compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Mesa County
Moderate
#5 of 9 cities
Rank in county, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 cities in Mesa County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Colorado
Moderate
#240 of 479 cities
Rank in state, 50th percentileLowHigh
#240 of 479 cities in Colorado for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Grand Junction risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Grand Junction: 4.34.3Grand JunctionThis cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg in countyState: 4.84.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.3
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.3/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.5 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 96d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,142/mo. A contested eviction takes 96 days and costs $4,140–$11,903 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 36.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 68,142 residents, 36.5% rent. 29% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 13.0% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.2
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.2 and 4.2 (GOP margin +24.3% (2024)). State climate at 4.7, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 4.7
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 4.7/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.5, housing court bias 6.2, rent-control risk 6.1. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.2
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.2. Supply constraint: 7.2. The numbers behind those: 13.0% poverty, 4.5% unemployment, 29% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Grand Junction sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Denver, CO · 98d · ~$8.6k all-in ($88/day) · score 5.7 Denver Colorado Springs, CO · 106d · ~$8.6k all-in ($81/day) · score 4.4 Colorado Springs Aurora, CO · 94d · ~$9.3k all-in ($99/day) · score 5.4 Aurora Fort Collins, CO · 106d · ~$9.0k all-in ($85/day) · score 5.4 Fort Collins Lakewood, CO · 91d · ~$8.7k all-in ($96/day) · score 5.2 Lakewood Thornton, CO · 98d · ~$7.9k all-in ($80/day) · score 4.5 Thornton Arvada, CO · 109d · ~$8.2k all-in ($75/day) · score 4.5 Arvada Westminster, CO · 99d · ~$7.3k all-in ($74/day) · score 4.4 Westminster Pueblo, CO · 91d · ~$8.8k all-in ($97/day) · score 5.2 Pueblo Greeley, CO · 105d · ~$8.0k all-in ($76/day) · score 4.6 Greeley Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Grand Junction
Grand Junction · 96d · ~$8.0k all-in ($84/day) · score 4.3 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Grand Junction, CO

Landlording in Grand Junction, Colorado, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.3/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Grand Junction is a city of 68,142 residents where 36.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 2.9% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,142/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Grand Junction eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Grand Junction closes 96 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Grand Junction's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Grand Junction runs $4,140 to $11,903 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 96 days of typical timeline and $1,142/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.7/10 in Grand Junction, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6.1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Colorado, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Grand Junction: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Colorado's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $11,903 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Grand Junction

Trap · 28.0 POINTS
Politically, Mesa County voted Republican by 28.0 points in 2020, a baseline that correlates with landlord-neutral legislative pressure. Combined with 29.1% rent-to-income ratio, expect baseline enforcement of CRS 13-40 + HB23-1115.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the fastest way to get a non-paying tenant out in Grand Junction?

The fastest legal way is often "cash for keys." If you offer a tenant money to move out quickly and amicably, it can save you months compared to a formal eviction, which typically takes 96 days here. Otherwise, serving the 10-day pay-or-quit notice immediately after rent is due is the first step in the legal process.

Q2

Can I evict a tenant in Grand Junction without a reason?

Colorado does not have a statewide just-cause eviction requirement. However, you still need to provide proper notice. For a month-to-month tenancy or at the end of a lease term where you don't intend to renew, you must give a 91-day no-cause termination notice. You can't just tell them to leave without notice.

Q3

How much can I charge for a security deposit in Grand Junction?

You can charge up to 2.00 months' rent for a security deposit. For the average rent of $1,142, that's a maximum of $2,284. Remember to return it within 30 days after the tenant moves out, or up to 60 days if your lease specifies it, along with an itemized list of any deductions. Our Colorado security deposit rules explain this further.

Q4

Do I need an attorney for an eviction in Grand Junction?

While not legally required, it's highly recommended, especially given Grand Junction's elevated eviction risk score and factors like housing court bias and tenant organizing strength. Eviction law is specific, and mistakes can be costly and time-consuming. An attorney ensures proper procedure, which can save you money in the long run. For a broader view, see the Colorado eviction risk overview.

Q5

What if my tenant claims they can't pay because of their income source?

Colorado has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot refuse to rent to someone or evict them solely because of where their income comes from (e.g., Section 8, disability benefits). You must apply the same objective screening criteria to all applicants and tenants. If they are not paying rent, you can still evict for non-payment, but you cannot discriminate based on the source of their income itself.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.3/10 places Grand Junction in the 54th percentile of Colorado cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.