Mesa County, Colorado Eviction Risk: Moderate
9 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Grand Junction (4.6) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #40 of 64 CO counties
130k residents · 9 cities · 33 tracts
Mesa County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
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Tenant beats landlord40.3%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Mesa County, CO, tenants prevail in roughly 40.3% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
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Timeline97dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Mesa County, CO until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 97 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
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Cost range$4.4–12.2klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Mesa County, CO costs landlords $4,432 to $12,158 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
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Average rent$1,25330% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Mesa County, CO is $1,253 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 30% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
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Renters28.0%of households28.0% of occupied housing units in Mesa County, CO are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
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Poverty11.2%5.1% unemp.11.2% of Mesa County, CO residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 5.1%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Mesa County's average eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 spans a range of 3.8 to 4.6 across its 9 tracked cities, with Clifton anchoring the high end at 4.6/10. Ranked 14th of 64 Colorado counties by eviction risk, Mesa sits in the higher-risk third of the state.
How Mesa County ranks in Colorado
Landlord guides for Colorado
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Grand Junction | 68,142 | 4.3 | 29.1% | $1,142 | Rep |
| 002 | Clifton | 19,518 | 4.6 | 31.8% | $1,107 | Rep |
| 003 | Fruita | 13,691 | 4.0 | 27.0% | $1,472 | Rep |
| 004 | Redlands | 8,868 | 4.4 | 42.1% | $1,488 | Rep |
| 005 | Fruitvale | 8,019 | 4.1 | 25.4% | $1,686 | Rep |
| 006 | Orchard Mesa | 6,945 | 4.4 | 32.0% | $1,535 | Rep |
| 007 | Palisade | 2,584 | 4.3 | 33.5% | $1,203 | Rep |
| 008 | Loma | 1,350 | 3.8 | 30.3% | $1,349 | Rep |
| 009 | De Beque | 458 | 4.5 | 26.9% | $1,094 | Rep |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Mesa County
Top 4 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Mesa County carries a 4.3/10 Moderate eviction-risk score, placing it 14th out of 64 counties in Colorado eviction laws, meaning only 13 counties statewide carry higher risk and 50 are more landlord-friendly. For investors weighing the Western Slope market, that ranking signals the county sits in the higher-risk third of the state, not a neutral middle ground. Across the county's 9 cities, scores span from 3.8 to 4.6, so underwriting based solely on a county average will leave meaningful variation on the table. Average rent runs $1,253 per month, rent burden averages 30.2% of tenant income, and the renter share of occupied housing is 28%, a comparatively thin rental market for a county of roughly 129,575 residents.
Those figures together describe a market where a meaningful share of tenants are already financially stretched, which historically correlates with higher eviction filing rates when economic conditions soften. Landlords operating here should build underwriting assumptions around the intra-county spread, not the average, and select submarkets deliberately.
The cities inside Mesa County
The highest-risk city in the county is Clifton, scoring 4.6/10 with a population of roughly 19,518. It leads the county by a clear margin and warrants the most conservative tenant-screening standards of any submarket here. Grand Junction, the county seat and largest city at 68,142 residents, scores 5.5/10, as do Fruitvale and Palisade. Fruita scores 4.1/10. These five communities account for the bulk of the county's rental inventory and collectively define the elevated end of the county's risk band.
The lower-risk end of the county looks materially different. Redlands scores 4.4/10 and Orchard Mesa 4.4/10, both sitting well below the county average. Loma, the smallest tracked community at 1,350 residents, carries the lowest score in the county at 3.6/10. That 2.3-point spread between Loma and Clifton eviction risk illustrates how hyper-local eviction risk is within a single county, and why city-level analysis matters more than the county headline number.
State-level laws that apply here
Every landlord in Mesa County operates under Colorado eviction laws state law, specifically C.R.S. § 38-12. For nonpayment of rent or a material lease violation, the required notice period is 10 days. A substantial violation notice shortens to 3 days. No-fault terminations, including owner move-in and renovation, require 90 days notice under HB24-1098. Colorado eviction laws also requires just cause to terminate most tenancies, a factor that meaningfully limits landlord flexibility compared to states without that requirement. There is no statewide rent cap, and Colorado eviction laws does not preempt local rent control, though no Mesa County jurisdiction has enacted it. Understanding the full Colorado eviction laws eviction process matters here because timeline variance is significant: uncontested cases resolve in 21 to 45 days, while contested cases can run 60 to 120 days.
On the cost side, court filing fees range from $105 to $200, sheriff lockout fees from $50 to $200, and attorney fees from $750 to $3,500 depending on case complexity. Landlords who want a full breakdown should review Colorado eviction costs before building their pro forma assumptions. Landlords must also provide 48 hours notice before entering a unit, and retaliation protections are codified under C.R.S. § 38-12-509. Source of income is a protected class under Colorado law, administered by the Colorado Civil Rights Division.
With an average poverty rate of 11.2% and only 28% of residents renting, Mesa County's rental pool is relatively small and economically mixed, a combination that makes city selection within the county especially consequential; the grid above breaks down each community's individual score.
Eviction filings in Mesa County
In November 2023, 2 eviction filings were recorded in Mesa County, 2.9% of the historical average (below average).1
- 2Nov 2023
- 2.9%of historical avg
- 18,146Renter households
- 11.2%Poverty rate
Historical eviction filings in Mesa County
From 2001 to 2017, eviction filings in Mesa County increased 3%. The peak was 1,217 filings in 2005.2
- 8982001
- 1,217Peak (2005)
- 9292017
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Mesa County compares
Mesa County's average eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 ranks it 14th of 64 Colorado counties, placing it in the higher-risk third of the state while remaining the lowest-scoring county among its five closest peers: Pueblo County (5.48), Douglas County (5.5), Weld County (5.5), Boulder County (5.52), and Larimer County (5.55).
The roughly 0.1-to-0.15-point gap between Mesa and its peers is modest but consistent, suggesting that Grand Junction eviction risk and surrounding communities carry slightly lower tenant-financial-stress indicators than similar Front Range and southern Colorado eviction laws markets, even accounting for Mesa's higher-risk Clifton eviction risk neighborhood at 4.6/10.