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Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Greeley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 08123001003 · Weld County, CO · pop 4,369 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Greeley

08123001003 is a census tract in Greeley, CO. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,369. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 30% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,575
Renter share69.8%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$44,076

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 31 tracts In Greeley
Elevated
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 83 tracts In Weld County
High
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#477 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Elevated
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,808 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Greeley and the region

Centroid at 40.3886, -104.7067 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greeley scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Greeley
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,258 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greeley
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greeley
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greeley
3.5

How Greeley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greeley risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0010034.1Greeleyparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greeley

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $44,076, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.6% against 11.3% nationally. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Cost burden runs 57% here against 47.4% across Weld County. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Weld County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 3/10.

Average gross rent is $1,258, 9% below the Greeley average. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Greeley eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 08123001003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08123001003?

Census tract 08123001003 in Greeley scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08123001003?

Median gross rent is $1,258/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08123001003?

24.0% of residents in tract 08123001003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,369.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08123001003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 92th, minority 81th, housing 99th.
Q5

How does tract 08123001003 compare to Greeley overall?

Tract 08123001003 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Greeley at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greeley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Greeley

Top eight tracts in Greeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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