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Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Greeley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 08123001416 · Weld County, CO · pop 3,585 · 67% of tract blocks fall in Greeley

Tract 08123001416 sits in Greeley eviction risk, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It is home to 3,585 residents. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 11% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,533
Renter share24.0%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$97,321

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#21 of 31 tracts In Greeley
Low
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 83 tracts In Weld County
Moderate
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#903 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Low
National
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#45,786 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Greeley and the region

Centroid at 40.4391, -104.7778 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greeley scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Greeley
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,349 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greeley
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greeley
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greeley
3.5

How Greeley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greeley risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0014164.1Greeleyparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greeley

Average gross rent is $2,349, 69% above the Greeley average. The voucher gap is 53.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Weld County average of 47.4%. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.8/10.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Weld County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $97,321.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 08123001416

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08123001416?

Census tract 08123001416 in Greeley scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08123001416?

Median gross rent is $2,349/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08123001416?

11.2% of residents in tract 08123001416 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,585.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08123001416?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 51th, minority 43th, housing 13th.
Q5

How does tract 08123001416 compare to Greeley overall?

Tract 08123001416 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Greeley at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greeley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Greeley

Top eight tracts in Greeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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