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Neighborhood · Dover, DE

Oak Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 7,176 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Oak Grove maps to a single census tract in Dover, DE, population 7,176. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10.

Court records for this tract carry 3,320 eviction filings. Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. SNAP participation is 24.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 30.1% of renter households.

Against a Dover baseline of 34.3%, 37% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Recent filings have not receded much: 23.2% in 2018 against a 30.1% peak.

That places it #7 of 10 neighborhoods in Dover. For a like-for-like read, Dupont Manor and Mayfair score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,333, close to the Dover average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $60,947. 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Oak Grove vs Dover How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.3% +9%
Dover: 34.3%
Average gross rent
$1,333 -1%
Dover: $1,344
Average HH income
$60,947 +4%
Dover: $58,336
Poverty rate
14.4% -18%
Dover: 17.5%
Renter share
61.1% +15%
Dover: 53.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Oak Grove scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
14.4% below poverty line · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Oak Grove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Oak Grove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7Oak GroveNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Oak Grove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
10001041000 4.7 7,176 37% $1,333
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 97

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 97%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oak Grove

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,320Total filings (sum)
  • 25.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 30.1%Peak year (2014)
  • 23.16%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oak Grove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Oak Grove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oak Grove?

Oak Grove scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Oak Grove compare to Dover overall?

Oak Grove scores 0.7 points higher than Dover overall (4/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,333 vs $1,344.
Q3

What is the average rent in Oak Grove?

Average gross rent in Oak Grove is $1,333/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Oak Grove residents are renters?

61% of Oak Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Dover). The neighborhood has 7,176 residents.
Q5

Is Oak Grove a high social-vulnerability area?

Oak Grove sits in the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Oak Grove for landlords?

Oak Grove carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dover as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Oak Grove?

Oak Grove has 7,265 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (42.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.4%), Hispanic / Latino (17%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oak Grove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dover

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oak Grove.

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