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Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Dover Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 10001040502 · Kent County, DE · pop 2,647 · 41% of tract blocks fall in Dover

Tract 10001040502 sits in Dover eviction risk, DE, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. It is home to 2,647 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 13% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,112
Renter share29.8%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$90,227

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 13 tracts In Dover
Very Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 41 tracts In Kent County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#170 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover and the region

Centroid at 39.2211, -75.5325 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dover scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dover
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,411 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
3.5

How Dover compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dover risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0405024.0Doverparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 568Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 33.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 52.8%Peak (2010)
  • 66Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 10001040502
Filings dropped 31% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dover

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Kent County average of 44.8%.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 568 filings here across 9 tracked years. Against the Kent County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Filings peaked in 2010 at 52.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 33.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,411, close to the Dover average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $90,227.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 10001040502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001040502?

Census tract 10001040502 in Dover scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10001040502?

Median gross rent is $1,411/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10001040502?

7.0% of residents in tract 10001040502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,647.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10001040502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 66th, minority 68th, housing 89th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10001040502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 568 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10001040502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.16% of renter households, peaking at 52.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 10001040502 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 10001040502 compare to Dover overall?

Tract 10001040502 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Dover at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dover

Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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