Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Grand Lagoon Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12005002606 · Bay, FL · pop 1,645 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Lower Grand Lagoon
Census tract 12005002606 belongs to Lower Grand Lagoon, Florida. It is home to 1,645 residents and scores 4.4/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 21st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 29% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,256 monthly, set against $84,162 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units919
Renter share33.9%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$84,162
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lower Grand Lagoon and the region
Centroid at 30.1515, -85.7676 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Grand Lagoon scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,256 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon
5.4
How Lower Grand Lagoon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 215Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2008)
- 16Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Grand Lagoon
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Bay County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 215 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.2% of renter households in 2008.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12005002606
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005002606?
Census tract 12005002606 in Lower Grand Lagoon scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12005002606?
Median gross rent is $1,256/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12005002606?
10.4% of residents in tract 12005002606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,645.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12005002606?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 36th, minority 8th, housing 14th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12005002606?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 215 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12005002606 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.69% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12005002606 compare to Lower Grand Lagoon overall?
Tract 12005002606 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lower Grand Lagoon at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lower Grand Lagoon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lower Grand Lagoon
Top eight tracts in Lower Grand Lagoon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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