Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Green Cove Springs Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12019031303 · Clay, FL · pop 3,294 · 9% of tract blocks fall in Green Cove Springs
Census tract 12019031303 belongs to Green Cove Springs, Florida. It is home to 3,294 residents and scores 4.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 30% of US census tracts.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,309 a month against an average household income of $80,139 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,390
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$80,139
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Green Cove Springs and the region
Centroid at 30.0470, -81.7279 · click any tract to drill in
Why Green Cove Springs scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,309 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.8
How Green Cove Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Green Cove Springs
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Green Cove Springs, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Clay County average of 4.6 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12019031303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12019031303?
Census tract 12019031303 in Green Cove Springs scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12019031303?
Median gross rent is $1,309/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12019031303?
8.8% of residents in tract 12019031303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,294.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12019031303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 57th, minority 51th, housing 40th.
Q5
How does tract 12019031303 compare to Green Cove Springs overall?
Tract 12019031303 scores 2.6/10, higher than the parent city of Green Cove Springs at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Cove Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Green Cove Springs
Top eight tracts in Green Cove Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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