Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Magnolia Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Green Cove Springs
Tract 12019031400 · Clay, FL · pop 6,090 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 12019031400 sits in the Magnolia Springs area of Green Cove Springs, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It is home to 6,090 residents. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,076
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$44,724
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Green Cove Springs and the region
Centroid at 29.9954, -81.6847 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magnolia Springs scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,271 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.8
How Magnolia Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Magnolia Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Springs
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Set annual rent against average income of $44,724 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Clay County average of 3.9. Average gross rent is $1,271, 14% above the Green Cove Springs average.
On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12019031400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12019031400?
Census tract 12019031400 in the Magnolia Springs neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12019031400?
Median gross rent is $1,271/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12019031400?
18.0% of residents in tract 12019031400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,090.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12019031400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 85th, minority 58th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 12019031400 considered part of Magnolia Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12019031400 fall within Magnolia Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12019031400 compare to Green Cove Springs overall?
Tract 12019031400 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Green Cove Springs at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Cove Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Green Cove Springs
Top eight tracts in Green Cove Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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