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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Magnolia Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Green Cove Springs

Tract 12019031302 · Clay, FL · pop 3,640 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 12019031302 covers part of the Magnolia Springs area of Green Cove Springs, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,640 residents. Average gross rent is $1,825, 64% above the Green Cove Springs average.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 3% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,430
Renter share4.4%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$109,848

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Magnolia Springs
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Green Cove Springs
Very Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 45 tracts In Clay
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Green Cove Springs and the region

Centroid at 30.0007, -81.7074 · click any tract to drill in

Why Magnolia Springs scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,825 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.8

How Magnolia Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Magnolia Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0313023.5Green Cove Springsparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Magnolia Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Springs

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 40% here against 44.5% across Clay County.

Against the Clay County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.7/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $109,848.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12019031302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12019031302?

Census tract 12019031302 in the Magnolia Springs neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12019031302?

Median gross rent is $1,825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12019031302?

1.5% of residents in tract 12019031302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,640.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12019031302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 74th, minority 38th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 12019031302 considered part of Magnolia Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12019031302 fall within Magnolia Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12019031302 compare to Green Cove Springs overall?

Tract 12019031302 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Green Cove Springs at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Cove Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Green Cove Springs

Top eight tracts in Green Cove Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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