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Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Green Cove Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12019031500 · Clay, FL · pop 2,902 · 19% of tract blocks fall in Green Cove Springs

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 12019031500 in Green Cove Springs, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,902 residents. Cost burden runs 16% here against 44.5% across Clay County.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 20% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,128
Renter share24.3%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$67,849

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Green Cove Springs
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 45 tracts In Clay
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#1,779 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Green Cove Springs and the region

Centroid at 29.9008, -81.6896 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Cove Springs scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$994 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Green Cove Springs
4.8

How Green Cove Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Green Cove Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0315003.5Green Cove Springsparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Cove Springs

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $994, 11% below the Green Cove Springs average. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $67,849, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Clay County average of 3.9 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12019031500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12019031500?

Census tract 12019031500 in Green Cove Springs scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12019031500?

Median gross rent is $994/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12019031500?

13.0% of residents in tract 12019031500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,902.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12019031500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 68th, minority 5th, housing 14th.
Q5

How does tract 12019031500 compare to Green Cove Springs overall?

Tract 12019031500 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Green Cove Springs at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Cove Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Green Cove Springs

Top eight tracts in Green Cove Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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