Neighborhood · Jacksonville, FL

LaVilla Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 14,726 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 3.2–4.8

LaVilla spans 5 census tracts of Jacksonville, FL and houses 14,726 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. Against a Jacksonville baseline of 32.8%, 57% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

At $774 a month, rents sit 47% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. The poverty rate is 45%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

On the high side is economic stress at 9/10. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. This is a renter market: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.1/10. The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.2 to 4.8, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Court records carry 2,710 eviction filings across its 5 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2007 at 16.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 8.3% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

5 tracts · population-weighted

LaVilla vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

57.0% +74%

Jacksonville: 32.8%

Average gross rent

$774 -47%

Jacksonville: $1,465

Average HH income

$33,275 -50%

Jacksonville: $66,981

Poverty rate

45.1% +200%

Jacksonville: 15.0%

Renter share

74.1% +75%

Jacksonville: 42.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across LaVilla and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3.2–4.8

Why LaVilla scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Rent control risk

57% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

74% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

45.1% below poverty line · Range 3.8–10.0 across tracts

9.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.2 across tracts

1.1

Risk score comparison

LaVilla vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in LaVilla?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.6 points from 3.2 to 4.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 3.2

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in LaVilla

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12031002902	4.8	4,090	68%	$1,004
12031001000	4.8	4,018	40%	$302
12031017200	4.8	2,604	60%	$1,079
12031001600	4.8	1,809	47%	$516
12031001100	3.2	2,205	74%	$1,057

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 91

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 90%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 67%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 84%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in LaVilla

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,710Total filings (sum)
8.32%Avg annual filing rate
16.4%Peak year (2007)
8.11%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,922Total filings 2020-21
5.3Avg monthly observed
4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
1.24×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).

Frequently asked

About LaVilla

What is the eviction-risk score for LaVilla?

LaVilla scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does LaVilla compare to Jacksonville overall?

LaVilla scores 1.2 points higher than Jacksonville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $774 vs $1,465.

What is the average rent in LaVilla?

Average gross rent in LaVilla is $774/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of LaVilla residents are renters?

74% of LaVilla households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 14,726 residents.

Is LaVilla a high social-vulnerability area?

LaVilla sits in the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in LaVilla have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in LaVilla is census tract 12031002902 (score 4.8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 4.8, a spread of 1.6 points.

How safe is LaVilla for landlords?

LaVilla carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of LaVilla?

LaVilla has 15,413 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (61.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (27.4%), Hispanic / Latino (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near LaVilla

4.7 Brentwood 5 tracts · pop 14,462 4.5 Riverside 3 tracts · pop 10,339 4.7 Tallulah-North Shore 4 tracts · pop 11,344 3.5 Avondale 6 tracts · pop 21,984 3 Miramar Terrace 2 tracts · pop 9,857 4.3 Englewood 5 tracts · pop 17,186

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to LaVilla.

4.6 South Jacksonville 1 tracts · pop 5,327 4.7 Tallulah-North Shore 4 tracts · pop 11,344 4.7 Brentwood 5 tracts · pop 14,462 4.4 Riverside 3 tracts · pop 10,339 4.8 Norwood 1 tracts · pop 4,099 4.2 Englewood 5 tracts · pop 17,186

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