Tallulah-North Shore Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 33%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

The poverty rate is 33%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.6/10.

At $1,118 a month, rents sit 24% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. Running hot is economic stress at 7.8/10.

Court records for this tract carry 504 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 13.7% of renter households.

Among the 33 mapped neighborhoods of Jacksonville, it ranks #4 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 8.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Brentwood and Norwood.

With little internal variation, 4.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.