Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
LaVilla Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031017200 · Duval, FL · pop 2,604 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
The LaVilla area of Jacksonville anchors census tract 12031017200, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,079 monthly, set against $40,035 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 87% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,851
Renter share87.2%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate39.4%
Median income$40,035
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3304, -81.6640 · click any tract to drill in
Why LaVilla scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
39.4% poverty · this tract
9.9
Supply constraint
$1,079 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How LaVilla compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 39%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 554Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.2%Peak (2002)
- 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 52% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 688Total filings 2020-21
- 8.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.35×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within LaVilla. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in LaVilla
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Duval County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.35x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031017200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031017200?
Census tract 12031017200 in the LaVilla neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031017200?
Median gross rent is $1,079/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031017200?
39.4% of residents in tract 12031017200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,604.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031017200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 82th, minority 76th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 12031017200 considered part of LaVilla?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031017200 fall within LaVilla (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031017200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 554 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031017200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.95% of renter households, peaking at 14.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031017200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.35× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031017200 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031017200 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12031017200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 39% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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