Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
LaVilla Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031001000 · Duval, FL · pop 4,018 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12031001000 in the LaVilla area of Jacksonville, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,018. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 59%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units920
Renter share98.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate63.6%
Median income$13,232
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3317, -81.6517 · click any tract to drill in
Why LaVilla scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
63.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$302 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How LaVilla compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 27%Grade C
- 18%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 432Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2002)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 58% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 199Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.04×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within LaVilla. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in LaVilla
Average gross rent is $302, 79% below the Jacksonville average. Disability prevalence runs 56.0% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 64%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Adults with no health insurance runs 32.3% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Duval County average of 49.2%. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 432 filings here across 10 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 6.5% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031001000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031001000?
Census tract 12031001000 in the LaVilla neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031001000?
Median gross rent is $302/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031001000?
63.6% of residents in tract 12031001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,018.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031001000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 42th, minority 77th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 12031001000 considered part of LaVilla?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031001000 fall within LaVilla (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031001000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 432 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.83% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031001000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031001000 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031001000 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12031001000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031000200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012201
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013302
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Avondale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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