Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
LaVilla Eviction Risk: Elevated , Jacksonville
Tract 12031002902 · Duval, FL · pop 4,090 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 12031002902 in LaVilla in Jacksonville ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,090 residents. On the national scale it ranks #32,050 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 68% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,004 a month while the average household earns $26,130 a year, roughly 46% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,633
Renter share60.3%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate38.8%
Median income$26,130
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3476, -81.6808 · click any tract to drill in
Why LaVilla scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.8% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$1,004 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How LaVilla compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 99%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 915Total filings over 10 yrs
- 12.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.4%Peak (2007)
- 114Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 652Total filings 2020-21
- 8.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.09×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within LaVilla. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in LaVilla
What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Duval County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 915 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 12.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.4% of renter households in 2007.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031002902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002902?
Census tract 12031002902 in the LaVilla neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031002902?
Median gross rent is $1,004/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002902?
38.8% of residents in tract 12031002902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,090.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 64th, minority 90th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 12031002902 considered part of LaVilla?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031002902 fall within LaVilla (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 915 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031002902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.87% of renter households, peaking at 16.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031002902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.09× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031002902 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031002902 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12031002902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031015502
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brentwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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