LaVilla Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031002902 · Duval, FL · pop 4,090 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Tract 12031002902 sits in the LaVilla area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 4,090. around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Duval County average of 49.2%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3476, -81.6808 · click any tract to drill in
Why LaVilla scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow LaVilla compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 99%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 915Total filings over 10 yrs
- 12.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.4%Peak (2007)
- 114Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 652Total filings 2020-21
- 8.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.09×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within LaVilla. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in LaVilla
The dominant input is economic stress at 9.7/10. Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $26,130, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
At $1,004 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. Disability prevalence runs 48.6% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.
Adults with no health insurance runs 21.1% against 11.3% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 915 filings here across 10 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 16.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 12031002902
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002902?
What is the average rent in tract 12031002902?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002902?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002902?
Is tract 12031002902 considered part of LaVilla?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002902?
Did eviction filings in tract 12031002902 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12031002902 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Was tract 12031002902 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.