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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12031013302 · Duval, FL · pop 4,861

Tract 12031013302 sits in Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 4,861. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 33% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units2,161
Renter share72.9%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$38,838

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#20 of 218 tracts In Duval
Very High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.1939, -81.7209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jacksonville scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,182 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Jacksonville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jacksonville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0133023.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,112Total filings 2020-21
  • 14.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 14.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $38,838 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,182, 19% below the Jacksonville average. Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Cost burden runs 55% here against 49.2% across Duval County. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.1% against 11.3% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031013302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031013302?

Census tract 12031013302 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031013302?

Median gross rent is $1,182/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031013302?

21.8% of residents in tract 12031013302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,861.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031013302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 79th, minority 76th, housing 83th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 12031013302 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 12031013302 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031013302 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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