Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031013504 · Duval, FL · pop 6,145
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12031013504 in Jacksonville, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,297
Renter share34.8%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$44,271
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2398, -81.7847 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$994 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,217Total filings over 10 yrs
- 17.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.0%Peak (2011)
- 134Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 46% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 544Total filings 2020-21
- 7.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
At $994 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. The filing record is not thin: 1,217 evictions over 10 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2011 at 19.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 17.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031013504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031013504?
Census tract 12031013504 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031013504?
Median gross rent is $994/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031013504?
26.0% of residents in tract 12031013504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,145.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031013504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 39th, minority 78th, housing 77th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031013504?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,217 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031013504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.52% of renter households, peaking at 19.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031013504 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031013504 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031013504 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031011000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Avondale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riverside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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