Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Tallulah-North Shore Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031000102 · Duval, FL · pop 2,646 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 12031000102 covers part of the Tallulah-North Shore area of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,646 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,213
Renter share66.0%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate42.4%
Median income$22,983
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3792, -81.6470 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tallulah-North Shore scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
42.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,192 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Tallulah-North Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 32%Grade B
- 26%Grade C
- 23%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 390Total filings 2020-21
- 5.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.04×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tallulah-North Shore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tallulah-North Shore
Set annual rent against average income of $22,983 and the ratio lands at 62%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Duval County average of 49.2%.
66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Disability prevalence runs 44.6% against 31.5% nationally. At $1,192 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands.
Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.2% against 11.3% nationally.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031000102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031000102?
Census tract 12031000102 in the Tallulah-North Shore neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031000102?
Median gross rent is $1,192/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031000102?
42.4% of residents in tract 12031000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,646.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031000102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 93th, minority 79th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 12031000102 considered part of Tallulah-North Shore?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031000102 fall within Tallulah-North Shore (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031000102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031000102 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031000102 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12031000102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 23% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031011400
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Belle Rive
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012601
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031002702
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013504
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Norwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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