Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031000200 · Duval, FL · pop 2,310
Census tract 12031000200 covers part of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,310. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3623, -81.6300 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 42%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 570Total filings over 10 yrs
- 12.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.7%Peak (2007)
- 76Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 349Total filings 2020-21
- 4.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
At $785 a month, rents run 46% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Annualized rent equals 50% of average household income of $18,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The poverty rate is 62%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 52.1% against 31.5% nationally.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Cost burden runs 59% here against 49.2% across Duval County. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.4% against 11.3% nationally.
It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. The filing record is not thin: 570 evictions over 10 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 15.7% of renter households.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 12031000200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031000200?
What is the average rent in tract 12031000200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031000200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031000200?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031000200?
Did eviction filings in tract 12031000200 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12031000200 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Was tract 12031000200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.