Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Palm River-Clair Mel Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12057013501 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,377 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Palm River-Clair Mel

Here is how census tract 12057013501, in Palm River-Clair Mel, looks to a landlord: a 5.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,377. On the national scale it ranks #23,215 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 67% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,350 a month while the average household earns $69,559 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 15% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,574
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$69,559

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Palm River-Clair Mel
Moderate
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#96 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,204 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,332 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palm River-Clair Mel and the region

Centroid at 27.9332, -82.4029 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palm River-Clair Mel scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,350 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
7.6

How Palm River-Clair Mel compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palm River-Clair Mel risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 013501Palm River-Clair M: 2.42.4Palm River-Clair Mparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 473Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 8.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak (2015)
  • 63Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570135012000: 26 filings (9.44/100 renter HHs)2001: 20 filings (7.26/100 renter HHs)2002: 32 filings (11.62/100 renter HHs)2003: 19 filings (6.90/100 renter HHs)2004: 22 filings (7.99/100 renter HHs)2005: 64 filings (13.09/100 renter HHs)2009: 40 filings (8.18/100 renter HHs)2010: 48 filings (8.32/100 renter HHs)2011: 55 filings (6.65/100 renter HHs)2015: 84 filings (10.16/100 renter HHs)2016: 63 filings (8.97/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 142% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 240Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.74×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-02-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-04-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2020-05-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-10-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-02-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-04-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-06-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (0.70× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-05-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-08-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2023-09-01: 8 filings (2.13× baseline)2023-10-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2023-12-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-01-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-02-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-03-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-08-01: 4 filings (0.70× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2024-12-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2025-07-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2025-09-01: 10 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palm River-Clair Mel

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 473 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 9.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.2% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013501?

Census tract 12057013501 in Palm River-Clair Mel scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013501?

Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013501?

19.7% of residents in tract 12057013501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,377.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 97th, minority 73th, housing 90th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 473 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.96% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013501 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.74× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057013501 compare to Palm River-Clair Mel overall?

Tract 12057013501 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Palm River-Clair Mel at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel

Top eight tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related