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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

All Bright Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake Magdalene

Tract 12057011203 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,386 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

12057011203 is a census tract in the All Bright Shores area of Lake Magdalene, FL. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,386 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 17% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,554
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$74,760

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In All Bright Shores
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Lake Magdalene
Very Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#232 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#3,381 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Magdalene and the region

Centroid at 28.0817, -82.4842 · click any tract to drill in

Why All Bright Shores scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Magdalene
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,395 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Magdalene
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Magdalene
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Magdalene
6.7

How All Bright Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
All Bright Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0112034.0Lake Magdaleneparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 417Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 5.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.2%Peak (2004)
  • 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057011203
Filings dropped 44% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 126Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.12×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within All Bright Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in All Bright Shores

Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 417 filings here across 11 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2004 at 9.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 3.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 53% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,395, close to the Lake Magdalene average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011203?

Census tract 12057011203 in the All Bright Shores neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057011203?

Median gross rent is $1,395/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011203?

3.2% of residents in tract 12057011203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,386.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 27th, minority 53th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 12057011203 considered part of All Bright Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011203 fall within All Bright Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 417 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.80% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011203 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.12× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057011203 compare to Lake Magdalene overall?

Tract 12057011203 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Magdalene at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Magdalene; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Magdalene

Top eight tracts in Lake Magdalene ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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