Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Carrollwood Village Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12057011408 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,829 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 12057011408 covers part of the Carrollwood Village area of Carrollwood, FL, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,829. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,060
Renter share36.1%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$90,139
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region
Centroid at 28.0591, -82.5221 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrollwood Village scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,499 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0
How Carrollwood Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 207Total filings over 11 yrs
- 7.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.3%Peak (2005)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 123Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.08×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carrollwood Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carrollwood Village
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. The filing record is not thin: 207 evictions over 11 years of observation.
At $1,499 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Carrollwood commands. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 16.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 54% of renters. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $90,139. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011408
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011408?
Census tract 12057011408 in the Carrollwood Village neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011408?
Median gross rent is $1,499/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011408?
11.4% of residents in tract 12057011408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,829.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011408?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 34th, minority 62th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011408 considered part of Carrollwood Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011408 fall within Carrollwood Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011408?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 207 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011408 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.91% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011408 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011408 compare to Carrollwood overall?
Tract 12057011408 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Carrollwood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood
Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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