Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Carrollwood Village Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12057011409 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,917 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
How risky is the Carrollwood Village neighborhood of Carrollwood for landlords? Census tract 12057011409 scores 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,486 monthly, set against $118,194 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,263
Renter share23.8%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$118,194
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region
Centroid at 28.0549, -82.5110 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrollwood Village scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,486 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0
How Carrollwood Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 268Total filings over 10 yrs
- 7.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.4%Peak (2000)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 93% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 32Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carrollwood Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carrollwood Village
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carrollwood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.67x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011409
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011409?
Census tract 12057011409 in the Carrollwood Village neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011409?
Median gross rent is $1,486/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011409?
1.9% of residents in tract 12057011409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,917.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011409?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 16th, minority 50th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011409 considered part of Carrollwood Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011409 fall within Carrollwood Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011409?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 268 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12057011409 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.50% of renter households, peaking at 13.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011409 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011409 compare to Carrollwood overall?
Tract 12057011409 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Carrollwood at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood
Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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