Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Carrollwood Village Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12057011409 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,917 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 12057011409 sits in the Carrollwood Village area of Carrollwood, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 2,917. 47% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,263
Renter share23.8%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$118,194
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region
Centroid at 28.0549, -82.5110 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrollwood Village scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,486 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0
How Carrollwood Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 268Total filings over 10 yrs
- 7.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.4%Peak (2000)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 93% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 32Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carrollwood Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carrollwood Village
69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
It sits 1.2 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. Court records carry 268 eviction filings across 10 observed years.
At $1,486 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Carrollwood commands. The worst year on record was 2000, when 13.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $118,194, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011409
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011409?
Census tract 12057011409 in the Carrollwood Village neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011409?
Median gross rent is $1,486/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011409?
1.9% of residents in tract 12057011409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,917.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011409?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 16th, minority 50th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011409 considered part of Carrollwood Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011409 fall within Carrollwood Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011409?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 268 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12057011409 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.50% of renter households, peaking at 13.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011409 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011409 compare to Carrollwood overall?
Tract 12057011409 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Carrollwood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood
Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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