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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Carrollwood Village Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12057011417 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,846 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 12057011417 covers Carrollwood Village in Carrollwood, home to 5,846 residents. For landlords it grades 5.4/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 54th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,596 monthly, set against $58,028 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 22% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,069
Renter share51.2%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$58,028

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Carrollwood Village
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Carrollwood
Very High
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#212 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#3,043 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region

Centroid at 28.0765, -82.5359 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carrollwood Village scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,596 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0

How Carrollwood Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carrollwood Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 011417Carrollwood: 2.42.4Carrollwoodparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 445Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 6.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.5%Peak (2005)
  • 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570114172000: 30 filings (5.14/100 renter HHs)2001: 47 filings (8.05/100 renter HHs)2002: 30 filings (5.14/100 renter HHs)2003: 39 filings (6.68/100 renter HHs)2004: 42 filings (7.19/100 renter HHs)2005: 74 filings (14.46/100 renter HHs)2009: 33 filings (6.45/100 renter HHs)2010: 51 filings (7.05/100 renter HHs)2011: 32 filings (3.86/100 renter HHs)2015: 31 filings (3.74/100 renter HHs)2016: 36 filings (4.33/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 165Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.98×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-12-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-12-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-09-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 6 filings (2.18× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2025-09-01: 6 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carrollwood Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carrollwood Village

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carrollwood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 445 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 6.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.5% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011417

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011417?

Census tract 12057011417 in the Carrollwood Village neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057011417?

Median gross rent is $1,596/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011417?

8.7% of residents in tract 12057011417 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,846.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011417?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 53th, minority 75th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 12057011417 considered part of Carrollwood Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011417 fall within Carrollwood Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011417?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 445 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011417 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.55% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011417 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.98× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057011417 compare to Carrollwood overall?

Tract 12057011417 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Carrollwood at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood

Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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