Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Eviction Risk: Lower , Carrollwood
Tract 12057011303 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,364 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 12057011303 sits in the Arlington area of Carrollwood, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,527
Renter share42.0%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$75,170
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region
Centroid at 28.0647, -82.4914 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,203 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0
How Arlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 242Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.9%Peak (2005)
- 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 76Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arlington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. At $1,203 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Carrollwood commands.
Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.0 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 242 filings here across 11 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 9.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011303?
Census tract 12057011303 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011303?
Median gross rent is $1,203/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011303?
4.0% of residents in tract 12057011303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,364.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 81th, minority 68th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011303 considered part of Arlington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011303 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 242 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.11% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011303 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011303 compare to Carrollwood overall?
Tract 12057011303 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Carrollwood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood
Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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