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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Carrollwood Village Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12057011408 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,829 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 12057011408 covers the Carrollwood Village neighborhood of Carrollwood, home to 2,829 residents. For landlords it grades 5.4/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 54th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,499 monthly, set against $90,139 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 17% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,060
Renter share36.1%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$90,139

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Carrollwood Village
Elevated
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 8 tracts In Carrollwood
Elevated
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#246 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,685 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region

Centroid at 28.0591, -82.5221 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carrollwood Village scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,499 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0

How Carrollwood Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carrollwood Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 011408Carrollwood: 2.42.4Carrollwoodparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 207Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 7.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.3%Peak (2005)
  • 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570114082000: 18 filings (6.59/100 renter HHs)2001: 16 filings (5.86/100 renter HHs)2002: 19 filings (6.96/100 renter HHs)2003: 18 filings (6.59/100 renter HHs)2004: 22 filings (8.06/100 renter HHs)2005: 24 filings (16.33/100 renter HHs)2009: 24 filings (16.33/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (5.35/100 renter HHs)2011: 21 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2015: 11 filings (3.81/100 renter HHs)2016: 17 filings (3.90/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 123Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.08×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-02-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 6 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 12 filings (12.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2025-11-01: 5 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carrollwood Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carrollwood Village

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carrollwood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 207 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 7.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.3% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011408

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011408?

Census tract 12057011408 in the Carrollwood Village neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057011408?

Median gross rent is $1,499/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011408?

11.4% of residents in tract 12057011408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,829.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 34th, minority 62th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 12057011408 considered part of Carrollwood Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011408 fall within Carrollwood Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011408?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 207 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011408 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.91% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011408 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057011408 compare to Carrollwood overall?

Tract 12057011408 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Carrollwood at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood

Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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