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Neighborhood · East Lake-Orient Park, FL

Breckenridge Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,272 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Breckenridge Park maps to a single census tract in East Lake-Orient Park, FL and houses 6,272 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. 79% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the East Lake-Orient Park rate of 33.5%.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.2/10.

Set annual rent against average household income of $50,343 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.

The filing record is not thin: 1,638 evictions logged in this tract. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,357, 13% below the East Lake-Orient Park average of $1,555. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 16.5% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 9.1% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #2 of 5 neighborhoods in East Lake-Orient Park.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Breckenridge Park vs East Lake-Orient Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
78.5% +134%
East Lake-Orient Park: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,357 -13%
East Lake-Orient Park: $1,555
Average HH income
$50,343 -11%
East Lake-Orient Park: $56,623
Poverty rate
16.8% +8%
East Lake-Orient Park: 15.6%
Renter share
62.3% +28%
East Lake-Orient Park: 48.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Breckenridge Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Breckenridge Park scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
79% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Economic stress
16.8% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Breckenridge Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Breckenridge Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Breckenridge ParkNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Breckenridge Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057010402 5.2 6,272 78% $1,357
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 88

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 76%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Breckenridge Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,638Total filings (sum)
  • 13.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.5%Peak year (2005)
  • 9.08%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,151Total filings 2020-21
  • 15.8Avg monthly observed
  • 11.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.43×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Breckenridge Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Breckenridge Park?

Breckenridge Park scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Breckenridge Park compare to East Lake-Orient Park overall?

Breckenridge Park scores 1.2 points higher than East Lake-Orient Park overall (4/10). Renters spend 79% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,357 vs $1,555.
Q3

What is the average rent in Breckenridge Park?

Average gross rent in Breckenridge Park is $1,357/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Breckenridge Park residents are renters?

62% of Breckenridge Park households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in East Lake-Orient Park). The neighborhood has 6,272 residents.
Q5

Is Breckenridge Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Breckenridge Park sits in the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Breckenridge Park for landlords?

Breckenridge Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to East Lake-Orient Park as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Breckenridge Park?

Breckenridge Park has 6,545 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (53.3%), Hispanic / Latino (17.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Breckenridge Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside East Lake-Orient Park

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Breckenridge Park.

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