Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Alafia Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Riverview
Tract 12057013705 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 7,385 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 12057013705 in the Alafia Oaks area of Riverview, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,599
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$82,754
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Riverview and the region
Centroid at 27.8777, -82.3392 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alafia Oaks scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Riverview
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,598 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Riverview
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Riverview
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Riverview
6.0
How Alafia Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 224Total filings 2020-21
- 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alafia Oaks
72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Average gross rent is $1,598, 20% below the Riverview average. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.
That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $82,754. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013705
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013705?
Census tract 12057013705 in the Alafia Oaks neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013705?
Median gross rent is $1,598/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013705?
12.5% of residents in tract 12057013705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,385.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013705?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 71th, minority 70th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013705 considered part of Alafia Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013705 fall within Alafia Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013705 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057013705 compare to Riverview overall?
Tract 12057013705 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Riverview at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Riverview eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Riverview
Top eight tracts in Riverview ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Ventura Bay
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Boyette Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Winthrop
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Colonial Hills
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Boyette Park
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Alafia Cove
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Winthrop Village
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12057013806
3
/ 10 · Low
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