Skip to content
Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Almima Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,200 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.2–5.4

Almima spans 2 census tracts of Tampa, FL, population 8,200. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Tampa baseline of 33.5%, about half of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 35%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $1,108, 35% below the Tampa average of $1,701.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Court records carry 679 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 11.1% of renter households.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 4.4% in 2016, is well off that peak.

That places it #17 of 70 neighborhoods in Tampa. For a like-for-like read, Altos Verdes and Oakridge score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $47,818.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Almima vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.4% +47%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,108 -35%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$47,818 -33%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
16.5% +4%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
41.3% -17%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Almima and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.2–5.4

Why Almima scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
16.5% below poverty line · Range 3.8–4.9 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Almima vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Almima score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.3AlmimaNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Almima

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057000602 5.4 2,655 56% $1,146
12057001300 5.2 5,545 46% $1,090
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Almima

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 679Total filings (sum)
  • 3.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.1%Peak year (2015)
  • 3.88%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 229Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly observed
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.69×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Almima

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Almima?

Almima scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Almima compare to Tampa overall?

Almima scores 1.3 points higher than Tampa overall (4/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,108 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Almima?

Average gross rent in Almima is $1,108/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Almima residents are renters?

41% of Almima households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 8,200 residents.
Q5

Is Almima a high social-vulnerability area?

Almima sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Almima have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Almima is census tract 12057000602 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.4, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Almima for landlords?

Almima carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Almima?

Almima has 8,076 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (56.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Almima

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Almima.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further