Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Armenia Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 21,968 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3–5.4

Armenia Heights spans 5 census tracts of Tampa, FL and houses 21,968 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Tampa baseline of 33.5%, 60% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 36%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 5.4, a 2.4-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.3/10.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.8/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,865 across 4 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 26.2% of renter households.

At $1,543 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Tampa commands. The most recent observed rate, 5.5% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #37 of 70 neighborhoods in Tampa.

For a like-for-like read, Paradise and Macfarlane Park score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $75,894.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

5 tracts · population-weighted

Armenia Heights vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

59.7% +78%

Tampa: 33.5%

Average gross rent

$1,543 -9%

Tampa: $1,701

Average HH income

$75,894 +6%

Tampa: $71,302

Poverty rate

15.4% -3%

Tampa: 15.9%

Renter share

39.1% -21%

Tampa: 49.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Armenia Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3–5.4

Why Armenia Heights scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.5–5.8 across tracts

5.1

Rent control risk

60% of income on rent · Range 1.5–8.4 across tracts

4.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.1–3.0 across tracts

2.3

Tenant organizing strength

39% renter households · Range 4.0–9.3 across tracts

5.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–7.8 across tracts

4.9

Economic stress

15.4% below poverty line · Range 1.8–6.8 across tracts

3.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–5.2 across tracts

2.8

Risk score comparison

Armenia Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Armenia Heights?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.4 points from 3 to 5.4. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

5.4 5.4 5.1 3.9 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Armenia Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057000601	5.4	5,106	58%	$1,587
12057000402	5.4	3,340	77%	$1,298
12057011907	5.1	3,524	50%	$1,680
12057000500	3.9	4,157	60%	$2,024
12057011304	3	5,841	56%	$1,219

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 57

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 54%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 49%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Armenia Heights

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,865Total filings (sum)
8.46%Avg annual filing rate
26.2%Peak year (2009)
5.78%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,738Total filings 2020-21
4.9Avg monthly observed
4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.15×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Armenia Heights

What is the eviction-risk score for Armenia Heights?

Armenia Heights scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Armenia Heights compare to Tampa overall?

Armenia Heights scores 0.4 points higher than Tampa overall (4/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,543 vs $1,701.

What is the average rent in Armenia Heights?

Average gross rent in Armenia Heights is $1,543/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Armenia Heights residents are renters?

39% of Armenia Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 21,968 residents.

Is Armenia Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Armenia Heights sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Armenia Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Armenia Heights is census tract 12057000601 (score 5.4/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.4, a spread of 2.4 points.

How safe is Armenia Heights for landlords?

Armenia Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Armenia Heights?

Armenia Heights has 21,366 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.5%), Hispanic / Latino (38.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Armenia Heights

5.3 Almima 2 tracts · pop 8,200 5 North Tampa Heights 4 tracts · pop 15,343 5.6 Ansley Park 3 tracts · pop 9,356 3.8 Angelina Pines 2 tracts · pop 9,058 3.2 Arlington 4 tracts · pop 12,496 5.3 Altos Verdes 9 tracts · pop 37,245

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Armenia Heights.

4.4 Paradise 1 tracts · pop 1,873 4.4 Macfarlane Park 2 tracts · pop 6,806 4.5 Arrawana Park 1 tracts · pop 1,962 4.5 Mathews Place 1 tracts · pop 1,475 4.3 Alta Vista Tracts 1 tracts · pop 4,098 4.3 Edwards 1 tracts · pop 2,235

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