Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Andover Eviction Risk: Lower , Carrollwood
Tract 12057011416 ·
Hillsborough, FL · pop 7,075 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 12057011416 in the Andover area of Carrollwood, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,075 residents. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%Stable renters 14%Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,491
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$69,139
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Andover
Moderate
Within parent city
86th percentile
#2 of 8 tracts In Carrollwood
High
Within county
43th percentile
#190 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Moderate
Within state
53th percentile
#2,414 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region
Centroid at 28.0440, -82.5240 · click any tract to drill in
Why Andover scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,573 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0
How Andover compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
76%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
378Total filings over 11 yrs
4.22%Avg annual filing rate
8.0%Peak (2002)
25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings dropped 44% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
136Total filings 2020-21
1.9Avg monthly (observed)
2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
0.88×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Andover
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 22.3% against 11.3% nationally. Court records carry 378 eviction filings across 11 observed years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 8.0% of renter households were served.
Average gross rent is $1,573, 8% below the Carrollwood average. In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 54% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011416
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011416?
Census tract 12057011416 in the Andover neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011416?
Median gross rent is $1,573/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011416?
9.0% of residents in tract 12057011416 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,075.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011416?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 73th, minority 69th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011416 considered part of Andover?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011416 fall within Andover (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011416?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 378 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011416 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.22% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011416 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011416 compare to Carrollwood overall?
Tract 12057011416 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Carrollwood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood
Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.