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Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

South Seminole Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,949 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

South Seminole Heights is a one-tract neighborhood of Tampa, FL and houses 2,949 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 42% against 33.5% citywide, putting South Seminole Heights 8.2% over its own city. 12% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The filing record is not thin: 433 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 12.0% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

The most recent observed rate, 2.3% in 2016, is well off that peak. At $1,579 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Tampa commands. Among the 70 mapped neighborhoods of Tampa, it ranks #56 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, Sunset Beach and Wilhelmina score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $93,942.

38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Seminole Heights vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.7% +24%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,579 -7%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$93,942 +32%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
5.8% -64%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
37.8% -24%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Seminole Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why South Seminole Heights scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
5.8% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

South Seminole Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Seminole Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0South Seminole HeiNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in South Seminole Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057002300 3 2,949 42% $1,579
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 29

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 31%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 8%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Seminole Heights

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 433Total filings (sum)
  • 7.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak year (2005)
  • 2.34%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 74Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly observed
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.63×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About South Seminole Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Seminole Heights?

South Seminole Heights scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Seminole Heights compare to Tampa overall?

South Seminole Heights scores 1.0 points lower than Tampa overall (4/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,579 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Seminole Heights?

Average gross rent in South Seminole Heights is $1,579/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Seminole Heights residents are renters?

38% of South Seminole Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 2,949 residents.
Q5

Is South Seminole Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

South Seminole Heights sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is South Seminole Heights for landlords?

South Seminole Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of South Seminole Heights?

South Seminole Heights has 3,148 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.3%), Hispanic / Latino (14.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Seminole Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Seminole Heights.

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