Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

River Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Valrico

Tract 12057013208 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,958 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

12057013208 is a census tract in the River Hills area of Valrico, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,958 residents. 70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 4% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,867
Renter share13.1%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$132,837

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In River Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Valrico
Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#322 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Valrico and the region

Centroid at 27.8896, -82.2116 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Hills scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Valrico
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,985 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valrico
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valrico
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valrico
6.3

How River Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0132083.8Valricoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 43Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 3.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2015)
  • 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013208
Filings dropped 17% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 33Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Hills

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,985, 54% above the Valrico average.

The voucher gap is 50.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

It sits 1.2 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. The filing record is not thin: 43 evictions over 10 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013208

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013208?

Census tract 12057013208 in the River Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013208?

Median gross rent is $2,985/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013208?

3.9% of residents in tract 12057013208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,958.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 34th, minority 39th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013208 considered part of River Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013208 fall within River Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013208?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 43 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12057013208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.81% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013208 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013208 compare to Valrico overall?

Tract 12057013208 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Valrico at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valrico; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Valrico

Top eight tracts in Valrico ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related