River Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Valrico
Tract 12057013208 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,958 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
12057013208 is a census tract in the River Hills area of Valrico, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,958 residents. 70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Valrico and the region
Centroid at 27.8896, -82.2116 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow River Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 43Total filings over 10 yrs
- 3.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2015)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 33Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
What drives eviction risk in River Hills
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,985, 54% above the Valrico average.
The voucher gap is 50.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
It sits 1.2 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. The filing record is not thin: 43 evictions over 10 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 12057013208
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013208?
What is the average rent in tract 12057013208?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013208?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013208?
Is tract 12057013208 considered part of River Hills?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013208?
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013208 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12057013208 compare to Valrico overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Valrico
Top eight tracts in Valrico ranked by composite eviction-risk score.