Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
River Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Valrico
Tract 12057013208 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,958 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
In the River Hills area of Valrico, census tract 12057013208 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 58th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
70% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,985 a month against an average household income of $132,837 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,867
Renter share13.1%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$132,837
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
1
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valrico and the region
Centroid at 27.8896, -82.2116 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Hills scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valrico
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,985 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valrico
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valrico
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valrico
6.3
How River Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 43Total filings over 10 yrs
- 3.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2015)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 33Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Hills
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valrico, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.80x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013208?
Census tract 12057013208 in the River Hills neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013208?
Median gross rent is $2,985/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013208?
3.9% of residents in tract 12057013208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,958.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 34th, minority 39th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013208 considered part of River Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013208 fall within River Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013208?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 43 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12057013208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.81% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013208 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013208 compare to Valrico overall?
Tract 12057013208 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Valrico at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valrico; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valrico
Top eight tracts in Valrico ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related