Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Angel Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Valrico
Tract 12057012210 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,916 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 3.8/10, tract 12057012210 in the Angel Run area of Valrico, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,916 residents. Average gross rent is $1,188, 39% below the Valrico average.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,179
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$76,784
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valrico and the region
Centroid at 27.9437, -82.2382 · click any tract to drill in
Why Angel Run scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valrico
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,188 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valrico
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valrico
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valrico
6.3
How Angel Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 297Total filings over 11 yrs
- 7.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.4%Peak (2000)
- 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 161Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.14×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Angel Run
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.
Court records carry 297 eviction filings across 11 observed years. The worst year on record was 2000, when 12.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057012210
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057012210?
Census tract 12057012210 in the Angel Run neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057012210?
Median gross rent is $1,188/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057012210?
11.5% of residents in tract 12057012210 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,916.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057012210?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 72th, minority 71th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 12057012210 considered part of Angel Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057012210 fall within Angel Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057012210?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 297 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057012210 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.19% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057012210 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.14× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057012210 compare to Valrico overall?
Tract 12057012210 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Valrico at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valrico; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valrico
Top eight tracts in Valrico ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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