Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally
Abbey Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Valrico
Tract 12057013205 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 9,218 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
For landlords sizing up Abbey Grove in Valrico, census tract 12057013205 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 50% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 82% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,662 a month against an average household income of $122,372 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units3,036
Renter share19.7%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$122,372
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valrico and the region
Centroid at 27.9191, -82.2313 · click any tract to drill in
Why Abbey Grove scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valrico
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,662 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valrico
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valrico
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valrico
6.3
How Abbey Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 125Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2016)
- 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 317% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 150Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.28×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Abbey Grove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Abbey Grove
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valrico, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.28x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013205?
Census tract 12057013205 in the Abbey Grove neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013205?
Median gross rent is $1,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013205?
9.5% of residents in tract 12057013205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,218.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 8th, minority 64th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013205 considered part of Abbey Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013205 fall within Abbey Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013205?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 125 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013205 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.81% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013205 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013205 compare to Valrico overall?
Tract 12057013205 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Valrico at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valrico; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valrico
Top eight tracts in Valrico ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related