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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Breckenridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Estero

Tract 12071050103 · Lee, FL · pop 1,310 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

12071050103 is a census tract in the Breckenridge area of Estero, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Against Lee County at 52.2%, 17% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 10% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units693
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$82,014

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Breckenridge
Moderate
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 12 tracts In Estero
Moderate
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#136 of 222 tracts In Lee
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Estero and the region

Centroid at 26.4543, -81.8289 · click any tract to drill in

Why Breckenridge scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Estero
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,875 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Estero
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Estero
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Estero
4.9

How Breckenridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Breckenridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 050103Estero: 3.43.4Esteroparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Breckenridge

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10.

It sits 0.7 points below the Lee County average of 3.7. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,875, close to the Estero average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $82,014.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071050103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071050103?

Census tract 12071050103 in the Breckenridge neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071050103?

Median gross rent is $1,875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071050103?

8.8% of residents in tract 12071050103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,310.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071050103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 16th, minority 17th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 12071050103 considered part of Breckenridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071050103 fall within Breckenridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12071050103 compare to Estero overall?

Tract 12071050103 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Estero at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Estero; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Estero

Top eight tracts in Estero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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