Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Osprey Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Carlos Park
Tract 12071050212 · Lee, FL · pop 4,431 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 4/10, tract 12071050212 in the Osprey Cove area of San Carlos Park, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,431 residents. Cost burden runs 20% here against 52.2% across Lee County.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,650
Renter share14.8%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$69,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Carlos Park and the region
Centroid at 26.4666, -81.8165 · click any tract to drill in
Why Osprey Cove scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Carlos Park
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,478 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Carlos Park
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Carlos Park
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Carlos Park
5.9
How Osprey Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Osprey Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Osprey Cove
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
At $1,478 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of San Carlos Park commands. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 3/10.
Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Lee County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $69,167.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12071050212
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071050212?
Census tract 12071050212 in the Osprey Cove neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12071050212?
Median gross rent is $1,478/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12071050212?
12.8% of residents in tract 12071050212 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,431.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12071050212?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 65th, minority 58th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 12071050212 considered part of Osprey Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071050212 fall within Osprey Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12071050212 compare to San Carlos Park overall?
Tract 12071050212 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of San Carlos Park at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Carlos Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Carlos Park
Top eight tracts in San Carlos Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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