Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Crystal Cay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cutler Bay
Tract 12086010622 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 4,432 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
12086010622 is a census tract in the Crystal Cay area of Goulds, FL. It scores 4/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,432 residents. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share49.8%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$71,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cutler Bay and the region
Centroid at 25.5606, -80.3669 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crystal Cay scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cutler Bay
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,550 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cutler Bay
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cutler Bay
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cutler Bay
8.1
How Crystal Cay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 337Total filings 2020-21
- 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Crystal Cay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crystal Cay
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.1% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,550 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Goulds commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6 closely.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $71,250. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086010622
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010622?
Census tract 12086010622 in the Crystal Cay neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086010622?
Median gross rent is $1,550/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010622?
8.1% of residents in tract 12086010622 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,432.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010622?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 95th, minority 95th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 12086010622 considered part of Crystal Cay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086010622 fall within Crystal Cay (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086010622 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086010622 compare to Cutler Bay overall?
Tract 12086010622 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Cutler Bay at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cutler Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cutler Bay
Top eight tracts in Cutler Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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