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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal Cay Eviction Risk: Lower , Cutler Bay

Tract 12086010626 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,924 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 3.6/10, tract 12086010626 in the Crystal Cay area of Cutler Bay, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,924. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 24% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,204
Renter share57.3%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$85,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Crystal Cay
Elevated
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 13 tracts In Cutler Bay
Moderate
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#504 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Low
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#2,851 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cutler Bay and the region

Centroid at 25.5483, -80.3536 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal Cay scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cutler Bay
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,658 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cutler Bay
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cutler Bay
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cutler Bay
6.8

How Crystal Cay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crystal Cay risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 0106264.1Cutler Bayparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 118Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.92×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crystal Cay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal Cay

Adults with no health insurance runs 29.8% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6.

Average gross rent is $1,658, 16% below the Cutler Bay average. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 59% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $85,500.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086010626

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010626?

Census tract 12086010626 in the Crystal Cay neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086010626?

Median gross rent is $1,658/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010626?

12.6% of residents in tract 12086010626 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,924.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010626?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 89th, minority 95th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 12086010626 considered part of Crystal Cay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086010626 fall within Crystal Cay (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086010626 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.92× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086010626 compare to Cutler Bay overall?

Tract 12086010626 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Cutler Bay at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cutler Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cutler Bay

Top eight tracts in Cutler Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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