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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal Cay Eviction Risk: Lower , Cutler Bay

Tract 12086010618 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 4,203 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 12086010618 covers part of the Crystal Cay area of Cutler Bay, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 8% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,322
Renter share29.7%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$98,590

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Crystal Cay
Very Low
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 13 tracts In Cutler Bay
Very Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#656 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cutler Bay and the region

Centroid at 25.5631, -80.3444 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal Cay scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cutler Bay
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,694 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cutler Bay
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cutler Bay
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cutler Bay
6.8

How Crystal Cay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crystal Cay risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0106184.1Cutler Bayparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 35Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.43×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crystal Cay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal Cay

72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%. Average gross rent is $2,694, 36% above the Cutler Bay average.

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $98,590, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. Against the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.3% against 11.3% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086010618

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010618?

Census tract 12086010618 in the Crystal Cay neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086010618?

Median gross rent is $2,694/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010618?

8.3% of residents in tract 12086010618 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,203.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010618?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 95th, minority 84th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 12086010618 considered part of Crystal Cay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086010618 fall within Crystal Cay (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086010618 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.43× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086010618 compare to Cutler Bay overall?

Tract 12086010618 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Cutler Bay at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cutler Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cutler Bay

Top eight tracts in Cutler Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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