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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal Cay Eviction Risk: Lower , Cutler Bay

Tract 12086010626 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,924 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in the Crystal Cay neighborhood of Cutler Bay centers on tract 12086010626, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,924 residents. On the national scale it ranks #35,411 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,658 a month while the average household earns $85,500 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 57% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 24% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,204
Renter share57.3%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$85,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Crystal Cay
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 13 tracts In Cutler Bay
Moderate
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#555 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#3,359 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cutler Bay and the region

Centroid at 25.5483, -80.3536 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal Cay scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cutler Bay
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,658 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cutler Bay
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cutler Bay
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cutler Bay
6.8

How Crystal Cay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crystal Cay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 010626Cutler Bay: 2.52.5Cutler Bayparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 118Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.92×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (1.80× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.75× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 7 filings (4.19× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 7 filings (5.26× baseline)2022-12-01: 5 filings (2.73× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (6.02× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-05-01: 6 filings (2.58× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (1.09× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-11-01: 7 filings (5.26× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (3.61× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (1.80× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (3.01× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crystal Cay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal Cay

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cutler Bay, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.92x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086010626

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010626?

Census tract 12086010626 in the Crystal Cay neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086010626?

Median gross rent is $1,658/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010626?

12.6% of residents in tract 12086010626 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,924.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010626?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 89th, minority 95th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 12086010626 considered part of Crystal Cay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086010626 fall within Crystal Cay (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086010626 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.92× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086010626 compare to Cutler Bay overall?

Tract 12086010626 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Cutler Bay at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cutler Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cutler Bay

Top eight tracts in Cutler Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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