Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Crystal Cay Eviction Risk: Lower , Cutler Bay
Tract 12086010622 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 4,432 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12086010622 (the Crystal Cay neighborhood of Cutler Bay, Florida) comes in at 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #47,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,550 a month against an average household income of $71,250 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share49.8%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$71,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cutler Bay and the region
Centroid at 25.5606, -80.3669 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crystal Cay scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cutler Bay
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,550 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cutler Bay
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cutler Bay
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cutler Bay
8.1
How Crystal Cay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 337Total filings 2020-21
- 4.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Crystal Cay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crystal Cay
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cutler Bay, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.13x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086010622
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010622?
Census tract 12086010622 in the Crystal Cay neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086010622?
Median gross rent is $1,550/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010622?
8.1% of residents in tract 12086010622 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,432.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010622?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 95th, minority 95th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 12086010622 considered part of Crystal Cay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086010622 fall within Crystal Cay (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086010622 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086010622 compare to Cutler Bay overall?
Tract 12086010622 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Cutler Bay at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cutler Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cutler Bay
Top eight tracts in Cutler Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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