Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Española Way Eviction Risk: Elevated , Miami Beach

Tract 12086004204 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,284 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 12086004204 sits in the Española Way area of Miami Beach eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 2,284 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 34% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,263
Renter share83.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate23.7%
Median income$41,263

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 10 tracts In Española Way
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 29 tracts In Miami Beach
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami Beach and the region

Centroid at 25.7909, -80.1394 · click any tract to drill in

Why Española Way scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami Beach
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.7% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,660 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami Beach
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami Beach
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami Beach
7.6

How Española Way compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Española Way risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 004204Miami Beach: 5.95.9Miami Beachparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 78Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 4.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2015)
  • 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 114Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.92× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (1.09× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.32× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (2.73× baseline)2020-09-01: 6 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 4 filings (1.04× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (0.92× baseline)2021-03-01: 4 filings (2.19× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.52× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-03-01: 6 filings (3.28× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.95× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (2.19× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (1.12× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.63× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.26× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.85× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (1.64× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.32× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.92× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (0.63× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.52× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Española Way. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Española Way

Against the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.7 points. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $41,263, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

This is renter territory: 84% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Adults with no health insurance runs 22.4% against 11.3% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 78 filings here across 2 tracked years.

At $1,660 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Miami Beach commands. The worst year on record was 2015, when 4.7% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086004204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086004204?

Census tract 12086004204 in the Española Way neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086004204?

Median gross rent is $1,660/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086004204?

23.7% of residents in tract 12086004204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,284.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086004204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 9th, minority 79th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 12086004204 considered part of Española Way?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086004204 fall within Española Way (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086004204?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086004204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.08% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12086004204 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12086004204 compare to Miami Beach overall?

Tract 12086004204 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Miami Beach at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12086004204 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami Beach

Top eight tracts in Miami Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related