Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Española Way Eviction Risk: Elevated , Miami Beach
Tract 12086004205 ·
Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,012 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 6.3/10, tract 12086004205 in the Española Way area of Miami Beach, FL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,012 residents. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%Stable renters 27%Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,193
Renter share70.4%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$59,028
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67th percentile
#4 of 10 tracts In Española Way
Elevated
Within parent city
57th percentile
#13 of 29 tracts In Miami Beach
Elevated
Within county
94th percentile
#47 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Very High
Within state
98th percentile
#101 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami Beach and the region
Centroid at 25.7887, -80.1286 · click any tract to drill in
Why Española Way scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami Beach
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,696 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami Beach
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami Beach
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami Beach
7.6
How Española Way compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
74%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
49%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
56Total filings over 2 yrs
3.12%Avg annual filing rate
3.9%Peak (2015)
19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
148Total filings 2020-21
2.0Avg monthly (observed)
1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
1.29×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Española Way. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Set annual rent against average income of $59,028 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Against the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
The filing record is not thin: 56 evictions over 2 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 3.9% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086004205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086004205?
Census tract 12086004205 in the Española Way neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086004205?
Median gross rent is $1,696/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086004205?
14.9% of residents in tract 12086004205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,012.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086004205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 12th, minority 67th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12086004205 considered part of Española Way?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086004205 fall within Española Way (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086004205?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086004205 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.12% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086004205 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086004205 compare to Miami Beach overall?
Tract 12086004205 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Miami Beach at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086004205 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami Beach
Top eight tracts in Miami Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.