Within neighborhood
78
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Española Way Eviction Risk: Elevated , Miami Beach
Tract 12086004303 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,541 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 12086004303 covers part of the Española Way area of Miami Beach, FL, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs roughly three in four here against 57.9% across Miami-Dade County.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 64%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,441
Renter share83.8%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate22.4%
Median income$50,945
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami Beach and the region
Centroid at 25.7825, -80.1291 · click any tract to drill in
Why Española Way scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami Beach
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.4% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami Beach
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami Beach
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami Beach
7.6
How Española Way compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 32%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 147Total filings over 2 yrs
- 6.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2015)
- 54Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 258Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.30×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Española Way. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Española Way
37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. It sits 2.6 points above the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6.
84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $50,945 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 27.4% against 11.3% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 147 evictions over 2 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,659, 9% below the Miami Beach average.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 8.2% of renter households.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086004303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086004303?
Census tract 12086004303 in the Española Way neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086004303?
Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086004303?
22.4% of residents in tract 12086004303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,541.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086004303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 5th, minority 82th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 12086004303 considered part of Española Way?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086004303 fall within Española Way (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086004303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086004303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.54% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086004303 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086004303 compare to Miami Beach overall?
Tract 12086004303 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Miami Beach at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086004303 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami Beach
Top eight tracts in Miami Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Española Way
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Beach
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Beach
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Española Way
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
South Beach
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
South Beach
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086004103
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Beach
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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