Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
South Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami Beach
Tract 12086004500 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 4,156 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 12086004500 in the South Beach area of Miami Beach, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,156 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units2,098
Renter share55.7%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$87,115
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami Beach and the region
Centroid at 25.7577, -80.1414 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Beach scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami Beach
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,240 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami Beach
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami Beach
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami Beach
7.6
How South Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 6%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 2 yrs
- 1.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2015)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 41Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.89×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Beach
The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
At $1,240 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Miami Beach commands. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10.
It sits 1.0 points above the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 25 filings here across 2 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 1.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10. Against average income of $87,115, annual rent is just 17%.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086004500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086004500?
Census tract 12086004500 in the South Beach neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086004500?
Median gross rent is $1,240/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086004500?
15.2% of residents in tract 12086004500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,156.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086004500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 56th, minority 63th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 12086004500 considered part of South Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086004500 fall within South Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086004500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086004500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.04% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086004500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086004500 compare to Miami Beach overall?
Tract 12086004500 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Miami Beach at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086004500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami Beach
Top eight tracts in Miami Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Española Way
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Beach
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Beach
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Española Way
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
South Beach
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Española Way
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
South Beach
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086004103
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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